lunes, 29 de junio de 2020

Toward More Precision in Implementation Science in the Age of COVID-19 M Clyne et al, CDC Blog, June 26, 2020

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Coronavirus

The COVID-19 pandemic has shed a new light on the importance of implementation science both in delivering the right interventions for the control of the pandemic (direct impact) as well as adapting to the disruption in health services as a result of the pandemic.
We show how influenza-like illness (ILI) outpatient surveillance data can be used to estimate the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2. The results suggest a conceptual model for the COVID-19 epidemic in the US characterized by rapid spread across the US with over 80% infected patients remaining undetected.
Surveillance testing of SARS-CoV-2
DB Larremore et al, MEDRXIV, June 25, 2020
We report the analysis of 864 SARS-CoV-2 sequences from cases in the New York City in Spring 2020. The majority of cases throughout the region had no recent travel history or known exposure, and genetically linked cases were spread throughout the region. Comparison to global viral sequences showed that early transmission was most linked to cases from Europe.
Using Machine Learning to assess Covid-19 risks
A Prakash, MEDRXIV, June 25, 2020
COVID-19 Mathematical Modeling
CDC Information, June 2020 Brand
Mathematical modeling helps CDC and partners respond to the COVID-19 pandemic by informing decisions about pandemic planning, resource allocation, and implementation of social distancing measures and other interventions.
This list is a living document that will be periodically updated by CDC, and it could rapidly change as the science evolves. Severe illness from COVID-19 was defined as hospitalization, admission to the ICU, intubation or death. The level of evidence for each condition was determined by CDC reviewers based on available information.

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