domingo, 26 de abril de 2020

Coronavirus Disease Portal|Home|PHGKB

Coronavirus Disease Portal|Home|PHGKB

Conoravirus Disease Portal

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spot light Spotlight on COVID-19
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak.
Chinazzi Matteo et al. Science (New York, N.Y.) 2020 Apr 368(6489) 395-400
Travel quarantine delayed the overall epidemic progression by only 3 to 5 days in mainland China but had a more marked effect on the international scale, where case importations were reduced by nearly 80% until mid-February. Modeling also indicate that restrictions only modestly affect the epidemic trajectory.
With the global spread of COVID-19, there is a proliferation of scientific information and publications that use novel approaches such as genomics and precision health tools (e.g., big data, wearables, and digital devices) in surveillance and epidemiologic investigations. Could these new technologies provide added value to traditional approaches?
Forecasts based on the use of statistical or mathematical models (subsequently referred to as “models”) aim to predict changes in national- and state-level cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths for the next four weeks.
Dozens of hospitals are using an artificial intelligence system to predict which COVID-19 patients will become critically ill, even as many are struggling to validate the tool’s effectiveness on those with the new disease.

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